live
./round-03

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 15 April 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:29 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Daniel Ricciardo
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P4
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P1
9%
03
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P2
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P3
8%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo ✓ actual winner
Car 77 · P6
8%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 49 · P8
5%
07
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 49 · P7
5%
08
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 67 · P5
5%
09
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 36 · P11
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P9
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 56 · P11
4%
12
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 40 · P12
4%
13
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P18
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P16
3%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P17
3%
16
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 40 · P10
3%
17
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P14
3%
18
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P15
3%
19
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 23 · P13
3%
20
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%