live
./round-04

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 29 April 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:30 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P2
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P1
10%
03
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 89 · P6
7%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 86 · P3
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P5
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 77 · P4
5%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 47 · P8
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 48 · P12
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P7
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 51 · P10
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P11
4%
12
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P11
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 40 · P14
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 39 · P9
4%
15
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P13
4%
16
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 24 · P15
3%
17
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 20 · P17
3%
18
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P16
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 30 · P19
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 11 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%