live
./round-05

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 13 May 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:31 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 98 · P3
11%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P2
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 94 · P4
7%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 78 · P6
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P5
5%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 48 · P9
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 47 · P8
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 46 · P12
4%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P18
4%
11
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P13
4%
12
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 20 · P11
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P11
4%
14
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 35 · P7
4%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 45 · P15
4%
16
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 47 · P14
3%
17
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P16
3%
18
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 45 · P10
3%
19
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P17
2%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 14 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%