live
./round-06

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 27 May 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:33 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Daniel Ricciardo
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P3
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P2
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P5
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P4
7%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo ✓ actual winner
Car 78 · P1
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 55 · P8
5%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 48 · P7
5%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 52 · P9
5%
09
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P19
4%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 49 · P6
4%
11
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P12
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P10
4%
13
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 33 · P11
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 44 · P11
4%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 51 · P17
4%
16
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P13
4%
17
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 37 · P14
3%
18
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 29 · P16
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 44 · P18
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 20 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%