live
./round-08

French Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Le Castellet, France · 24 June 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:36 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
11%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 98 · P3
8%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 86 · P2
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P6
6%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 69 · P4
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 77 · P5
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 46 · P7
5%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P8
5%
09
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 31 · P9
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 43 · P12
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 47 · P11
4%
12
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 46 · P15
4%
13
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 40 · P10
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 39 · P11
4%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P13
4%
16
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P18
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 39 · P19
3%
18
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 17 · P14
3%
19
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 19 · P17
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 13 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%