live
./round-09

Austrian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spielberg, Austria · 1 July 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:37 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P2
11%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P3
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P1
9%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P4
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 68 · P5
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 78 · P7
6%
07
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 37 · P8
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 55 · P11
5%
09
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 40 · P6
4%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 41 · P9
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 49 · P10
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 49 · P16
4%
13
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 24 · P12
4%
14
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 47 · P17
3%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 19 · P11
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P14
3%
17
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 23 · P15
3%
18
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 40 · P13
3%
19
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P19
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%