live
./round-11

German Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Hockenheim, Germany · 22 July 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:42 PM

predicted
Sebastian Vettel
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why VET
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 18%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P1
12%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P2
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P13
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 93 · P3
8%
05
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 38 · P5
7%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P4
5%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 50 · P10
5%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 26 · P9
5%
09
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 40 · P6
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 40 · P8
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 78 · P14
4%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 56 · P15
4%
13
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 44 · P11
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 26 · P16
4%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P18
4%
16
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P12
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 49 · P7
3%
18
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 23 · P19
3%
19
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 40 · P11
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%