live
./round-12

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 29 July 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:46 PM

predicted
Sebastian Vettel
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why VET
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 17%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Win Rate 3%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 98 · P4
10%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
10%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 89 · P2
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 93 · P3
8%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 50 · P5
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 74 · P7
5%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P6
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 46 · P11
4%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 45 · P14
4%
10
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 44 · P10
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 79 · P11
4%
12
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 38 · P9
4%
13
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 45 · P12
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 47 · P17
4%
15
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P16
4%
16
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 25 · P13
3%
17
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 26 · P15
3%
18
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 47 · P18
3%
19
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P19
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 16 · P8
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%