live
./round-13

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 26 August 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:47 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Sebastian Vettel
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 14%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Quali vs Teammate 4%
Luck Factor 4%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P1
11%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel ✓ actual winner
Car 97 · P2
10%
03
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P6
9%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P7
6%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P10
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 49 · P4
5%
07
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 39 · P5
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 39 · P16
4%
09
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 77 · P8
4%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 37 · P9
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 48 · P14
4%
12
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 26 · P12
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 28 · P11
4%
14
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P15
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 56 · P3
4%
16
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 38 · P17
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P18
3%
18
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P11
3%
19
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 22 · P19
3%
20
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 22 · P13
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%