live
./round-14

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 2 September 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:49 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 6%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P3
11%
02
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P1
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P4
9%
04
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P2
7%
05
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 56 · P8
7%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P5
5%
07
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 37 · P11
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 29 · P9
5%
09
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 39 · P6
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P10
5%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P7
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 49 · P15
4%
13
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 76 · P14
4%
14
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 39 · P11
4%
15
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 39 · P12
4%
16
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 23 · P16
3%
17
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 21 · P19
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 48 · P13
2%
19
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 22 · P18
2%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%