live
./round-19

Mexican Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Mexico City, Mexico · 28 October 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:55 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P3
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P4
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P5
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P6
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 68 · P2
7%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 75 · P1
5%
07
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 47 · P7
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P8
4%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 56 · P11
4%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 49 · P12
4%
11
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 25 · P9
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P18
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 28 · P14
4%
14
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 38 · P11
3%
15
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 22 · P10
3%
16
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 39 · P15
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 37 · P17
3%
18
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 41 · P19
3%
19
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 21 · P16
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P13
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%