live
./round-20

Brazilian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 11 November 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:56 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 15%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 98 · P1
14%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 99 · P2
10%
03
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 91 · P4
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P3
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P5
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 65 · P6
5%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P8
5%
08
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 33 · P9
4%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 42 · P17
4%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P10
4%
11
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P14
4%
12
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 18 · P7
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 44 · P12
4%
14
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 47 · P11
3%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 39 · P18
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 33 · P11
3%
17
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 41 · P15
3%
18
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 18 · P19
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 44 · P13
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 13 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%