live
./round-02

Styrian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spielberg, Austria · 12 July 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:33 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 30%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Win Rate 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Long Run Pace 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
10%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P4
9%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 47 · P6
7%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 65 · P2
6%
05
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 62 · P10
6%
06
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 61 · P5
5%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P3
5%
08
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P9
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P8
5%
10
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 51 · P11
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 50 · P7
5%
12
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P11
4%
13
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 56 · P16
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 11 · P18
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 34 · P15
4%
16
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 34 · P13
4%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P12
4%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P17
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 9 · P14
3%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 12 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%