live
./round-03

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 19 July 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:35 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
13%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 91 · P2
9%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P7
6%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P8
6%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 62 · P9
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 62 · P11
5%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P10
5%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 50 · P6
5%
09
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 63 · P5
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 46 · P3
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 53 · P13
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 55 · P4
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 61 · P12
4%
14
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 37 · P19
4%
15
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 42 · P16
4%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P11
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 9 · P18
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P14
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 20 · P17
3%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 14 · P15
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%