live
./round-04

British Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Silverstone, UK · 2 August 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:36 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
14%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P2
9%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 65 · P3
8%
04
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 51 · P11
6%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 49 · P4
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 45 · P7
5%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 50 · P5
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 43 · P11
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 59 · P9
5%
10
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 11 · P16
5%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P8
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 45 · P6
4%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 61 · P10
4%
14
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 34 · P13
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 34 · P17
4%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P14
4%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 9 · P15
3%
18
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 12 · P18
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%