live
./round-06

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 16 August 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:39 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 29%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Long Run Pace 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
11%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 91 · P2
8%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 62 · P7
7%
04
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 47 · P5
6%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 72 · P3
6%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 41 · P10
6%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 56 · P4
5%
08
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 42 · P11
5%
09
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 62 · P12
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 62 · P6
5%
11
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 49 · P9
5%
12
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 54 · P8
4%
13
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 37 · P13
4%
14
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 63 · P11
4%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 8 · P19
4%
16
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 19 · P16
4%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P14
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 15 · P15
3%
19
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P17
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%