live
./round-08

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 6 September 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:43 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Pierre Gasly
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P1
13%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P2
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 67 · P5
7%
04
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 58 · P7
7%
05
GAS
Pierre Gasly ✓ actual winner
Car 44 · P10
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 50 · P12
5%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 57 · P4
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 61 · P11
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 46 · P3
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 54 · P9
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 47 · P8
5%
12
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 34 · P13
4%
13
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 35 · P11
4%
14
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P16
4%
15
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P6
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 10 · P14
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 11 · P17
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P18
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 13 · P15
3%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 2 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%