live
./round-09

Tuscan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Mugello, Italy · 13 September 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:44 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
13%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P2
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P3
8%
04
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 52 · P8
6%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 59 · P6
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 52 · P5
6%
07
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 34 · P12
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 55 · P9
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 40 · P7
5%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 45 · P10
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 30 · P15
4%
12
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 36 · P11
4%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 61 · P13
4%
14
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 63 · P11
3%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 61 · P4
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P17
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 13 · P16
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P18
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 13 · P19
2%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 11 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%