live
./round-10

Russian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sochi, Russia · 27 September 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:45 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Win Rate 7%
Long Run Pace 7%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P1
12%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 87 · P3
9%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 58 · P4
9%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P2
7%
05
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 34 · P11
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 51 · P5
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 51 · P11
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 24 · P9
5%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 63 · P10
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 52 · P6
4%
11
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 64 · P8
4%
12
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P14
4%
13
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 10 · P16
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 42 · P7
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 33 · P19
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P12
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P13
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P18
2%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 8 · P15
2%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 9 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%