live
./round-12

Portuguese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Portimao, Portugal · 25 October 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:47 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
12%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 73 · P3
7%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 58 · P5
7%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 52 · P8
7%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 62 · P10
6%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P9
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 47 · P4
6%
08
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 41 · P12
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 90 · P2
5%
10
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 36 · P15
5%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 63 · P7
5%
12
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 12 · P16
4%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 62 · P14
4%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 62 · P6
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 50 · P11
4%
16
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 19 · P17
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 16 · P18
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 49 · P11
3%
19
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P13
3%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%