live
./round-13

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Imola, Italy · 1 November 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:48 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 32%
Reliability 13%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Driver Rating 11%
Sector Strength 9%
Win Rate 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Long Run Pace 2%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P2
9%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 91 · P1
9%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 73 · P3
7%
04
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 57 · P11
7%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 61 · P5
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 63 · P10
6%
07
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 40 · P8
6%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 48 · P7
6%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P4
6%
10
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P9
4%
11
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 36 · P17
4%
12
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 61 · P13
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 62 · P6
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 12 · P19
4%
15
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 18 · P15
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P12
3%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 51 · P11
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 48 · P14
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 15 · P16
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 2 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%