live
./round-14

Turkish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Istanbul, Turkey · 15 November 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:49 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Win Rate 6%
Sector Strength 6%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P6
15%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 91 · P9
7%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 57 · P3
7%
04
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 61 · P4
6%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 72 · P2
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 62 · P5
6%
07
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 47 · P1
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P7
5%
09
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 49 · P13
5%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P11
5%
11
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 35 · P8
5%
12
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 63 · P12
5%
13
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 52 · P11
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 42 · P14
4%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 13 · P10
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P17
3%
17
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 40 · P16
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 14 · P15
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 18 · P18
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 4 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%