live
./round-15

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 29 November 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:51 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 29%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Sector Strength 9%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 6%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Long Run Pace 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
11%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P2
9%
03
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P8
7%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 66 · P3
6%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 58 · P6
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 57 · P5
6%
07
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 35 · P10
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 60 · P7
5%
09
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P9
5%
10
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 48 · P11
5%
11
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P11
5%
12
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 45 · P14
4%
13
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 9 · P15
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 47 · P12
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 53 · P4
4%
16
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 33 · P16
4%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P13
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 8 · P17
2%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 12 · P18
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%