live
./round-16

Sakhir Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 6 December 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:52 PM

predicted
Valtteri Bottas
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why BOT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 30%
Long Run Pace 12%
Reliability 12%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Driver Rating 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 100 · P1
11%
02
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 60 · P7
10%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P3
8%
04
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 58 · P5
6%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 46 · P8
6%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 48 · P9
6%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 63 · P11
6%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 51 · P4
5%
09
RUS
George Russell
Car 2 · P2
5%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 63 · P12
5%
11
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 36 · P6
5%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 47 · P10
5%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 53 · P11
5%
14
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 60 · P14
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 36 · P18
4%
16
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 8 · P13
4%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 8 · P15
4%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P16
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%