live
./round-15

Singapore Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Singapore, Singapore · 16 September 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:59 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
12%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 97 · P3
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P4
8%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 91 · P5
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 67 · P2
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 50 · P7
6%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 49 · P9
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 54 · P11
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 46 · P11
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 78 · P6
4%
11
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 34 · P8
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 42 · P10
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 48 · P19
4%
14
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 27 · P13
3%
15
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 45 · P18
3%
16
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 25 · P12
3%
17
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 18 · P14
3%
18
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 30 · P17
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 42 · P15
3%
20
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 17 · P16
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%