live
./round-11

Eifel Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Nürburg, Germany · 11 October 2020

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:45:02 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P2
12%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 92 · P1
9%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 74 · P3
7%
04
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 62 · P6
7%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P8
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 47 · P4
6%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 58 · P9
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 64 · P10
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 54 · P7
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P11
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 64 · P5
5%
12
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 44 · P12
5%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 62 · P11
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 12 · P13
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 37 · P18
4%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 5 · P16
3%
17
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 21 · P15
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P14
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 3 · P17
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%