live
./round-01

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 2 March 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:28 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 20%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 9%
Luck Factor 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 78 · P1
12%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 73 · P8
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 87 · P2
9%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 85 · P7
8%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 63 · P3
8%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P9
7%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 74 · P5
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P4
6%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 53 · P6
6%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P10
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 42 · P13
3%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P11
3%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 33 · P15
3%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P11
3%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 33 · P19
3%
16
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 12 · P12
3%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 38 · P18
2%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P17
2%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 24 · P14
2%
20
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 9 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%