live
./round-02

Saudi Arabian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Jeddah, Saudi Arabia · 9 March 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:30 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P1
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 86 · P6
8%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P4
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 89 · P2
8%
05
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 29 · P9
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 81 · P3
6%
07
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 79 · P5
6%
08
RUS
George Russell
Car 70 · P7
5%
09
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P8
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 21 · P11
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P10
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 41 · P17
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 37 · P16
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 34 · P14
3%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 26 · P15
3%
16
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P13
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 34 · P12
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P18
3%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 8 · P19
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%