live
./round-05

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 21 April 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:34 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 22%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 88 · P6
10%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 86 · P4
10%
03
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
9%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P8
8%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 76 · P5
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 76 · P7
6%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 53 · P3
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 75 · P2
6%
09
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P17
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P11
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 39 · P12
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P9
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 13 · P13
3%
14
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 43 · P11
3%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 33 · P10
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 33 · P14
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P18
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 26 · P16
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 11 · P15
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%