live
./round-07

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Imola, Italy · 19 May 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:42 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 21%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Driver Rating 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 85 · P4
12%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 88 · P1
9%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 88 · P3
8%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 93 · P2
8%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P5
8%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P6
6%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P8
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P11
5%
09
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 36 · P10
4%
10
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 60 · P18
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 45 · P9
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 31 · P7
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 28 · P15
3%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P14
3%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P16
3%
16
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 38 · P11
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P12
3%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 21 · P13
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 33 · P17
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%