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./round-10 · sprint prediction

British Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Silverstone, UK · 17 July 2021

Model: sprint-v2 · Computed: 6/4/2026, 11:33:37 PM

predicted
Valtteri Bottas
→
actual sprint winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why BOT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 34%
Adj. Grid Position 34%
Short Run Pace 12%
Weather Impact 5%
Win Rate 5%
SQ vs Teammate 4%
Driver Rating 4%
Luck Factor 2%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 100 · P3
10%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ sprint winner
Car 96 · P1
10%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P2
9%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 80 · P5
8%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 80 · P6
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 86 · P4
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 86 · P11
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P7
6%
09
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 45 · P8
5%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 59 · P10
4%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 96 · P19
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 51 · P11
4%
13
RUS
George Russell
Car 22 · P9
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 45 · P13
3%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 35 · P12
3%
16
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 35 · P14
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 51 · P15
3%
18
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 50 · P17
2%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 22 · P16
2%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted sprint order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./sprint weights
Car Performance 25%
Adj. Grid Position 25%
Short Run Pace 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Weather Impact 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 8%
SQ vs Teammate 6%