live
./round-01

Australian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Melbourne, Australia · 16 March 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:47 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 18%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Luck Factor 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P3
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 88 · P1
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 64 · P4
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P8
8%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 87 · P2
8%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P7
7%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P10
5%
08
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P15
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 40 · P11
4%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 23 · P6
4%
11
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 8 · P14
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 16 · P5
3%
13
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P17
3%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 10 · P12
3%
15
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P13
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 42 · P9
3%
17
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P11
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 7 · P16
3%
19
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 18 · P18
3%
20
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%