live
./round-13

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 27 July 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:08 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✗ INCORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Win Rate 3%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 90 · P1
10%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 94 · P2
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P6
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 71 · P3
8%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P4
8%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P15
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 25 · P8
4%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 35 · P18
4%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 27 · P5
4%
10
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 66 · P17
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P11
4%
12
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 27 · P11
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P7
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 22 · P13
3%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 21 · P19
3%
16
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 10 · P10
3%
17
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 45 · P9
3%
18
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P12
3%
19
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 36 · P14
3%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 45 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%