live
./round-14

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 3 August 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:09 PM

predicted
Oscar Piastri
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why PIA
share of weighted score
Car Performance 31%
Reliability 13%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Sector Strength 9%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Long Run Pace 4%
Luck Factor 4%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 98 · P2
10%
02
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 90 · P3
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 70 · P8
8%
04
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 38 · P5
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 68 · P1
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 63 · P4
6%
07
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 17 · P6
6%
08
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P11
6%
09
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 54 · P9
4%
10
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 68 · P14
4%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 43 · P12
4%
12
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 32 · P10
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 25 · P17
4%
14
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P7
3%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P16
3%
16
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P11
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 28 · P19
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 16 · P18
3%
19
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P15
3%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P13
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%