live
./round-15

Dutch Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Zandvoort, Netherlands · 31 August 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:10 PM

predicted
Oscar Piastri
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✓ CORRECT
./why PIA
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 15%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Win Rate 3%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P1
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 91 · P2
10%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P3
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P5
8%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P7
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P9
5%
07
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 53 · P8
5%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 69 · P6
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 39 · P10
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P13
5%
11
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 65 · P11
4%
12
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 10 · P12
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 25 · P17
3%
14
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 14 · P18
3%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 25 · P11
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P16
3%
17
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 35 · P4
3%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P14
3%
19
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 45 · P15
3%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 19 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%