live
./round-16

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 7 September 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:12 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 15%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Win Rate 4%
Luck Factor 2%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 2%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 91 · P2
9%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 65 · P1
9%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 96 · P3
9%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 68 · P6
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 72 · P4
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P5
6%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 36 · P9
4%
08
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 32 · P11
4%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 33 · P14
4%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 37 · P12
4%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P13
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P16
4%
13
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 14 · P8
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P10
4%
15
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 62 · P7
4%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 23 · P11
4%
17
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 49 · P18
3%
18
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 23 · P15
3%
19
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 47 · P19
3%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 40 · P17
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%