live
./round-17

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 21 September 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:13 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 19%
Long Run Pace 16%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 4%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 69 · P1
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 95 · P7
7%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 47 · P2
7%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 95 · P9
6%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 73 · P5
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P10
5%
07
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 53 · P3
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 41 · P11
5%
09
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 28 · P6
5%
10
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P11
5%
11
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 31 · P8
5%
12
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P4
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 22 · P13
4%
14
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 17 · P14
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 35 · P18
4%
16
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 28 · P19
4%
17
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P15
3%
18
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 49 · P17
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 19 · P16
3%
20
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P12
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%