live
./round-21

São Paulo Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 9 November 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:19 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✓ CORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 17%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 4%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 93 · P1
12%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P15
9%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 80 · P4
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 60 · P6
7%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P12
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 69 · P3
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P5
6%
08
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P2
6%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 35 · P11
6%
10
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P8
5%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 34 · P14
4%
12
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P7
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 8 · P13
4%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 24 · P11
3%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 14 · P10
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P9
3%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 19 · P16
3%
18
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P17
3%
19
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 31 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%