live
./round-22

Las Vegas Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Las Vegas, USA · 22 November 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:20 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 19%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Luck Factor 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 70 · P2
10%
02
RUS
George Russell
Car 74 · P4
10%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 93 · P5
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P9
8%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 96 · P1
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 47 · P3
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 35 · P8
5%
08
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 51 · P6
5%
09
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 80 · P16
5%
10
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 41 · P7
5%
11
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 21 · P13
4%
12
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P19
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 46 · P10
3%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 20 · P11
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 26 · P12
3%
16
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 34 · P15
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 29 · P18
3%
18
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 6 · P17
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P11
3%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 45 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%