live
./round-02

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 23 March 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:49 PM

predicted
George Russell
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✗ INCORRECT
./why RUS
share of weighted score
Long Run Pace 21%
Car Performance 17%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Driver Rating 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Win Rate 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
RUS
George Russell
Car 62 · P2
10%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 62 · P4
9%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 88 · P1
9%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 87 · P3
9%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 70 · P6
7%
06
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P8
7%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P5
5%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 33 · P12
4%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 23 · P10
4%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 35 · P14
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P11
4%
12
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P7
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P15
4%
14
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P19
4%
15
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P16
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 18 · P13
3%
17
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P17
3%
18
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P18
3%
19
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 17 · P9
2%
20
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 19 · P11
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%