live
./round-08

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 25 May 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:26 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✓ CORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 93 · P1
10%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 67 · P5
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P2
8%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 93 · P3
8%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 72 · P13
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 78 · P4
7%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 41 · P7
5%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 35 · P10
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 28 · P8
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 46 · P11
5%
11
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 77 · P14
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 30 · P11
4%
13
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 55 · P9
4%
14
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P16
4%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 50 · P17
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 20 · P12
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P18
3%
18
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 28 · P6
3%
19
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 6 · P15
3%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%