live
./round-03

Japanese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Suzuka, Japan · 6 April 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:52 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Quali vs Teammate 12%
Long Run Pace 11%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 70 · P1
9%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 94 · P3
9%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 88 · P2
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 66 · P4
7%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 60 · P5
7%
06
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P6
7%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P8
6%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 27 · P9
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P11
4%
10
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P10
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 46 · P11
4%
12
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P13
4%
13
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 38 · P12
4%
14
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P7
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 26 · P17
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 15 · P15
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P14
3%
18
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P18
3%
19
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 6 · P16
3%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 16 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%