live
./round-04

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 13 April 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:53 PM

predicted
Oscar Piastri
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✓ CORRECT
./why PIA
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 18%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 90 · P1
13%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 88 · P6
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 70 · P3
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 62 · P7
8%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 62 · P2
7%
06
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P4
7%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P9
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 33 · P12
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 34 · P8
4%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P13
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P5
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 23 · P14
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 16 · P10
3%
14
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P11
3%
15
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P16
3%
16
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P11
3%
17
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P19
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P15
3%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 17 · P18
2%
20
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%