live
./round-05

Saudi Arabian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Jeddah, Saudi Arabia · 20 April 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:55 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Quali vs Teammate 13%
Long Run Pace 12%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P1
9%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 93 · P10
9%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 91 · P2
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 71 · P3
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P4
7%
06
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P5
6%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P7
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 47 · P6
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 50 · P9
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 33 · P11
4%
11
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 42 · P12
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 28 · P8
4%
13
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P14
4%
14
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P11
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 27 · P18
3%
16
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P13
3%
17
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P16
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P17
3%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 21 · P15
3%
20
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 8 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%