live
./round-07

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Imola, Italy · 18 May 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:39:56 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 19%
Long Run Pace 17%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Reliability 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 71 · P2
11%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 96 · P1
9%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 89 · P4
9%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 62 · P3
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 68 · P11
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P6
6%
07
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P12
5%
08
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P11
5%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P7
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P10
4%
11
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P9
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 18 · P8
4%
13
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P18
3%
14
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 39 · P5
3%
15
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P14
3%
16
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P13
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 16 · P16
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P19
3%
19
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 27 · P17
3%
20
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%