live
./round-09

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 1 June 2025

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:01 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✗ INCORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 20%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Win Rate 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 90 · P2
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P3
10%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 97 · P1
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 68 · P7
7%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 63 · P4
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 80 · P5
7%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 39 · P10
5%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P11
5%
09
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 75 · P6
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 48 · P8
5%
11
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 27 · P9
4%
12
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 59 · P12
3%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 44 · P17
3%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 26 · P16
3%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P15
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 26 · P19
3%
17
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P14
3%
18
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 50 · P18
3%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 19 · P13
2%
20
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 5 · P11
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%