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./round-02 · sprint prediction

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 22 March 2025

Model: sprint-v2 · Computed: 6/4/2026, 11:33:03 PM

predicted
Lando Norris
→
actual sprint winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why NOR
share of weighted score
Car Performance 33%
Adj. Grid Position 33%
Short Run Pace 11%
Driver Rating 8%
Weather Impact 5%
SQ vs Teammate 4%
Win Rate 3%
Luck Factor 3%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 100 · P6
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P2
11%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 100 · P3
10%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 73 · P5
9%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ sprint winner
Car 69 · P1
8%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 69 · P4
8%
07
ANT
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Car 73 · P7
8%
08
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 28 · P8
4%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 34 · P9
4%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P10
3%
11
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 29 · P11
3%
12
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 23 · P11
3%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 34 · P12
3%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 50 · P16
2%
15
DOO
Jack Doohan
Car 50 · P15
2%
16
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 16 · P13
2%
17
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 28 · P14
2%
18
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 64 · P19
2%
19
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P17
2%
20
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 16 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted sprint order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./sprint weights
Car Performance 25%
Adj. Grid Position 25%
Short Run Pace 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Weather Impact 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 8%
SQ vs Teammate 6%