live
./round-01

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 20 March 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:46 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 15%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 81 · P2
11%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P5
10%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P4
7%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 67 · P3
6%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 56 · P9
6%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P12
6%
07
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 52 · P6
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 58 · P11
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P8
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 36 · P10
5%
11
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
5%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 37 · P13
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 13 · P7
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 31 · P16
4%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P11
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 24 · P18
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P14
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P15
3%
19
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 56 · P17
3%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%