live
./round-03

Australian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Melbourne, Australia · 10 April 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:49 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 19%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 82 · P2
11%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P5
9%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P3
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 81 · P9
6%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P4
6%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 52 · P6
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P10
6%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 50 · P8
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P7
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 48 · P15
5%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 43 · P11
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 40 · P11
4%
14
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 24 · P14
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 21 · P16
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P12
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P13
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 40 · P18
3%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%