live
./round-04

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Imola, Italy · 24 April 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:53 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 17%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
11%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P2
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P7
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P12
8%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 81 · P10
6%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 52 · P11
6%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P5
6%
08
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 39 · P11
5%
09
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 52 · P3
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P16
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P6
4%
12
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 17 · P4
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P14
4%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 43 · P19
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 51 · P18
4%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 23 · P15
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P13
3%
18
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 46 · P8
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P17
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%